Seattle Mariners Top 10 Prospects
by Jason Parks Baseball Prospectus
The Top Ten
- RHP Taijuan Walker
- 1B D.J. Peterson
- LHP James Paxton
- RHP Victor Sanchez
- RHP Edwin Diaz
- LHP Luiz Gohara
- SS Chris Taylor
- LHP Tyler Pike
- C Tyler Marlette
- OF Gabriel Guerrero
10. Gabriel Guerrero
- Position: RF, DOB: 12/11/1993, Height/Weight: 6’3” 190 lbs., Bats/Throws: R/R
- Drafted/Acquired: International free agent, 2011, Dominican Republic
- Previous Ranking: On The Rise
- 2013 Stats: .271/.303/.358 at Low-A Clinton (125 games)
- The Tools: 7 raw; 6 arm
What Happened in 2013: After a slow start in an unforgiving environment for a hitter, Guerrero stepped forward in the second half of the season, hitting .306/.340/.396 in the warmer months of the summer.
Strengths: High-end bat speed; very loose; hand/eye coordination is ridiculous; raw power is a 7; game power could play as a 6; good athlete who can handle either left or right field; arm has plus arm strength; HOF bloodlines.
Weaknesses: Pitch-recognition skills are a concern; will expand and chase out of the zone; struggles with soft/spin; reactionary hitter who looks to rip regardless of sequence or setting; hit tool could pull the power down; not an up-the-middle defender.
- Overall Future Potential: 6; first-division player
- Realistic Role: 4; fringe-major leaguer; Triple-A
- Risk Factor/Injury History: High risk; very raw
Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: With 30-homer potential, Guerrero is a pure upside play toward the end of your minor-league roster. But too many Guerrero types on your roster and you risk having a very dry pipeline.
The Year Ahead: I’ve been very high on Guerrero in the past, and I remain enamored by his offensive skill set. The bat speed is very good, and the easy, loose swing is reminiscent of his famous uncle and physical doppelganger. But the pitch-recognition issues are the red flag here, the kind of issue that can spoil the offensive potential. This year will be a very good test for the young hitter, as he will see better off-speed offerings as he climbs the ladder, and if he can refine his approach and work himself into more favorable fastball counts, the bat might let the power play. If that happens, Guerrero has impact potential.
Major league ETA: 2016
Dominican Prospects on the Rise:
OF Wilton Martinez: With a projectable body and highly projectable offensive tools, Martinez looks the part of a prototypical corner bat. He’s still raw—and the numbers might not back up the hype for a while—but the bat speed and raw pop are there to develop into a legit middle-of-the-order prospect.
SS Ketel Marte: A 20-year-old Dominican with legit defensive skills at shortstop, Marte is a precocious talent who could end developing into a dual-threat player at the highest level. Power will never be a part of his game, but with plus speed and very good bat-to-ball skills, he has a chance to hit for average from a premium spot on the diamond.